SATURDAY'S GAMES
Cincinnati at Houston; 4:30 NBC
Weather: Dome
Line: Houston -3.5
Money Line: Cincy +175 Texans -210
O/U: 38.5
Preview: I think it's safe to say that Houston wouldn't have a home playoff game if they had been serving up the TJ Yates/Jake Delhomme crap sandwich all season. They won the shittiest division in football by grinding it out with 2 very good running backs and a solid defense, despite losing Mario Williams to injury. Their secondary has been pretty solid, and I'm sure Jonathon Joseph is looking forward to facing his old team and going up against AJ Green.
On the Bengals side of the ball, they are also playing very good defense this season. They really exceeded expectations though they have primarily been beating up on bad teams. Apparently Andy Dalton has finished his shitting extravaganza.
Prediction: This is not going to be a good game. I like the Bengals on the road. The money line is tempting but if you aren't as confident as I am take the 3.5 points and you should be good. I'd stay away from the over/under here, just because it seems about right and you have no idea what you're getting out of either qb coming off of injury/sickness.
Bengals 21 Texans 17
Detroit at New Orleans; 8:00 NBC
Weather: Dome
Line: Saints -10.5
Money Line: Lions +435 Saints -575
O/U: 59
Preview: Somehow, the NFC got 2 sweet Wild Card games while the AFC got dick. Full disclosure, I love this Lions team. I have had Stafford and Megatron on various fantasy teams for the past few years, I love Suh out there stomping on people not giving a fuck, I even still like Eric Wright. That said, the Saints are just too good. New Orleans whipped them 31-17 in week 13. When I went to look up that score I was totally expecting something like 56-20, from what I remember it was never anything even resembling close. Brees is really good, and the Lions pass D is really shitty (See Flynn, Matthew).
Prediction: I've gotta go with the Saints to cover here. Brees is going to have a field day. I got them early at -11, so apparently the Lions have some believers. If you are feeling confident about Detroit's offense, take them +10.5 and the over to get a better payout. You know the Saints are going to throw up 35+ inside against that D, so if Stafford and Megatron keep up 60 will be in play. Keep clear of the money line here, it's hard to picture Detroit pulling the upset and there is no value in taking the Saints there.
Saints 38 Lions 20
SUNDAY'S GAMES
Atlanta at New York; 1:00 PM Fox
Weather: 45 and abundant sunshine, 0% precipitation, no mention of wind
Line: Giants -3
Money Line: Giants -130 Falcons +150
O/U: 47.5
Preview: 2 teams that are very hard to trust. One hand, you have Eli and a suspect running game with 2 head cases. On the other hand, a Falcons team that has been beating up on crappy teams and getting throttled by good competition, with Michael Turner who could probably just keel over at any moment. Both teams feature 2 great WRs so look for a lot of passing, especially since it is going to be unseasonably pleasant in the normally windswept moonscape of MetLife Stadium.
Prediction: I like the Giants to cover, but I wouldn't put much on it. I prefer the Giants' receivers. Cruz is a stud and I have faith that Nicks is too good to keep dropping balls. And for all their flaws I like Bradshaw and Jacobs way more than Michael Turner's old broke-down ass. I'd take the under in this game, as I could see the Giants front 4 destroying Matt Ryan and the Falcons getting nearly shut out, or Eli imploding and the Giants getting killed for that matter. Either way, if it's a blowout it's going to be because one team's not scoring, don't see anybody putting up a ton of points here.
Giants 24 Falcons 10
Pittsburgh at Denver; 4:30 CBS
Weather: 33, 50% chance of snow showers. Though Tebow could certainly change that if he wants.
Line: Steelers -8.5
Money Line: Steelers -380 Broncos +310
O/U: 33.5
Preview: Interesting matchup here. One hand we have a quarterback who has willingly never had sex, and on the other a quarterback who has never had sex with a willing partner. Pittsburgh is beat up. Ben's leg is by all accounts fucked up. Pouncey is hurt. Mendenhall is out. Ryan Clark can't play because he might die. And still, 8.5 point favorites on the road. I think it's safe to say the whole Tebow thing is over. He's exposed, I'm not sure his teammates can rally behind him anymore after the way the last few games went down.
Prediction: This is a hard game for me. I can't stand the Steelers and I don't think I could handle a word where Tim Tebow wins a playoff game. Gotta like the Steelers here though. Like I said the Tebow thing is over, feel free to bet against him without fear, unless it is a smiting you are worried about. But as for losing the bet, no worries there. 8.5 is a lot though, so if you have any doubts it is probably safest just to hammer on the Steelers money line, even though it doesn't pay great. Figure this to be a low scoring game, with the injuries to Pittsburgh, the weather, and the fact that the Broncos offense is fucking atrocious. Though with Clark out, Tebow might be able to find some recievers that could get behind the cove....hahah almost got the whole thing out. He sucks. Take the under. 14 points is enough to win it and then we might get the Chaz Batch show.
Steelers 17 Broncos 6
Good luck, enjoy the games, and remember that gambling on sports is illegal.
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